Find the latest macro analysis and insights
Markets are pricing in a wider range of scenarios as geopolitics and AI reshape the landscape. Global equities declined during a volatile first quarter as the war in Iran roiled energy markets and...
Middle East tensions, high-profile defaults in private credit, and broader macro uncertainty have fuelled investor concerns around the potential impact on the European banking sector.
U.S. policy and political developments weekly in your inbox
The US-Iran ceasefire reduces the risk of an oil-driven inflation and growth shock, but we aren’t in the clear just yet, according to Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover.
Fears are growing that the UK faces a period of stagflation.
We reaffirm a modestly pro-risk stance. Global growth should prove resilient if geopolitical conflict remains contained and short-lived, while inflation dynamics become more two-sided. We overweigh...
The recent escalation in the Middle East has materially changed the tone of markets and prompted us to revise our base case scenario, notably on energy.
Head of the Small Cap team and Portfolio Manager Bill Hench explains how earnings growth momentum has fueled small cap performance since “Liberation Day” and how the Small Cap team is identifying o...
Learn how geopolitics, commodity supply disruptions, and AI CapEx are impacting US sector fundamentals and what it means for investors.
Copyright © 2026 Markets Recon. All Rights Reserved.