Macro

Find the latest macro analysis and insights

Equity Outlook: Middle East War, Energy Shock Test Fragile Markets
  • 16 hours ago

Markets are pricing in a wider range of scenarios as geopolitics and AI reshape the landscape. Global equities declined during a volatile first quarter as the war in Iran roiled energy markets and...

EUROPEAN BANK SUBORDINATED DEBT – THE RISK IS VOLATILITY, NOT FUNDAMENTALS
  • 16 hours ago

Middle East tensions, high-profile defaults in private credit, and broader macro uncertainty have fuelled investor concerns around the potential impact on the European banking sector.

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  • 16 hours ago

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Quick Thoughts: Iran ceasefire—A relief rally, not an all-clear
  • 08 Apr 2026

The US-Iran ceasefire reduces the risk of an oil-driven inflation and growth shock, but we aren’t in the clear just yet, according to Franklin Templeton Institute’s Stephen Dover.

UK money-market funds can offer safe haven amid Middle East fallout
  • 08 Apr 2026

Fears are growing that the UK faces a period of stagflation.

War, supply disruptions – and a modestly pro-risk stance
  • 08 Apr 2026

We reaffirm a modestly pro-risk stance. Global growth should prove resilient if geopolitical conflict remains contained and short-lived, while inflation dynamics become more two-sided. We overweigh...

UBP House View - April 2026
  • 08 Apr 2026

The recent escalation in the Middle East has materially changed the tone of markets and prompted us to revise our base case scenario, notably on energy.

US Small Caps in Focus: 1Q26
  • 08 Apr 2026

Head of the Small Cap team and Portfolio Manager Bill Hench explains how earnings growth momentum has fueled small cap performance since “Liberation Day” and how the Small Cap team is identifying o...

Sector Market Perspectives: Q2 2026
  • 08 Apr 2026

Learn how geopolitics, commodity supply disruptions, and AI CapEx are impacting US sector fundamentals and what it means for investors.