Macro

Find the latest macro analysis and insights

In Credit Weekly Snapshot – What’s new pussycat?
  • 18 hours ago

Larry the long-serving 10 Downing Street cat is set to welcome yet another UK prime minister, the seventh in a decade. Elsewhere, there was a repricing of interest rate risk on hawkish noises from...

Rate hikes would be a mistake
  • 18 hours ago

We believe the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not hike rates — and that it would be a mistake to do so. Despite market consensus pricing in two rate hikes, the U.S. economy is on a structurally weak...

2026 Insurance Midyear Investment Outlook
  • 18 hours ago

Risk assets have held up in 2026, but we believe tight credit spreads, geopolitical risks and inflation uncertainty mean insurers should stay cautious heading into the second half. For insurers glo...

Total Portfolio Approach (TPA) deep dive: Inflation risk
  • 18 hours ago

Exploring how Total Portfolio Approach (TPA) could be an effective solution to build inflation resilience.

Value Stocks: The Cash-Flow Case for a Continuing Comeback
  • 23 Jun 2026

Are value stocks finally turning the corner? Recent trends are encouraging. It’s easy to understand why investors are skeptical about value stocks. After nearly two decades of chronic weakness, val...

The Federal Reserve’s New Leader Lays Out His Agenda
  • 23 Jun 2026

The real information from Kevin Warsh’s first meeting as Fed chair wasn’t from the rate decision. Kevin Warsh, the newly appointed Federal Reserve chair, led his first committee meeting in June. Th...

Hard Assets, Harder Reality: The Case for Infrastructure
  • 23 Jun 2026

In a world of structural inflation and shifting global investment, infrastructure is evolving into a critical source of stable, long term, asset backed returns.

Semiquincententacles
  • 23 Jun 2026

Behold the Aquilaceph, half-bald eagle and half-octopus. On the semiquincentennial 250th anniversary of the US Declaration of Independence, this imaginary beast is a metaphor for the continued US g...

Tug Of War
  • 23 Jun 2026

The Northern Trust Economics team shares its outlook for U.S. growth, employment, interest rates and inflation.