Macro

Find the latest macro analysis and insights

In Credit Weekly Snapshot – Pump it up (when you don’t really need it)
  • 15 hours ago

Rising petrol prices will eventually feed into higher inflation, which is being reflected in the pricing of government bonds.

Guide to the Markets - UK
  • 30 Mar 2026

The Weekly Brief
  • 30 Mar 2026

The Bank of England (BoE) is in a challenging position as the UK economy battles with still-sticky inflation and questions around the growth outlook. Last week’s data showed headline inflation acce...

On not responding to events
  • 30 Mar 2026

At times of upheaval, a set process can be a boon.

Emerging-Market Equities: A Brief History of Volatility and Recovery
  • 30 Mar 2026

Could heightened uncertainty driven by the Middle East conflict lead to strong return potential? Emerging-market (EM) equities have been hit hard since the Iran war began, as investors worry about...

Conflict affecting sentiment
  • 30 Mar 2026

The Eurozone March PMI survey fell during the previous month, indicating businesses are getting worried about the middle east conflict.

China: Lower Growth Target, Contained Oil Impact and Focus on Tech
  • 30 Mar 2026

China lowers its growth target in 2026, placing a greater emphasis on quality growth. We expect the impact of oil shocks on China’s GDP, inflation and supply chain to remain contained, and see poli...

Global growth under pressure from energy risks
  • 30 Mar 2026

Geopolitical shocks often fade faster than feared, but the Iran war presents renewed inflation and growth risks as energy markets brace for prolonged disruption.

Global IG credit: Demand for quality
  • 30 Mar 2026

We continue to find attractive opportunities in global investment‑grade (IG) credit. Spreads are at the tighter end of their range, but the market is supported by attractive starting yields, a cons...