Macro

Find the latest macro analysis and insights

Policy peculiarities, and a productivity “miracle”
  • 17 hours ago

The Bank of Japan raised rates, as expected. The decision was not unanimous, causing a modest market reaction. The yen has weakened—yelling “house” like a grandmother in a bingo parlor does not off...

Higher for longer: What the Fed's latest rate hike means for investors
  • 17 Sep 2026

The September FOMC meeting marks an important shift in the policy cycle. After more than three years without a rate increase, the Fed has resumed tightening.

The lesser of two evils
  • 17 Sep 2026

Yesterday’s unanimous vote in favor of a US interest rate increase could be interpreted as defiance against political interference. Having raised once, the Federal Reserve is likely to raise again—...

Midterm Elections, Market Volatility, and the Opportunity Beyond the Headlines
  • 17 Sep 2026

What decades of market data can tell us about investing through election cycles

Macro brief: AI in Europe Part 2 – Comparing capex and strategy
  • 17 Sep 2026

Europe’s current AI strategy focus is not to compete with the US and China on capex levels, but to accelerate adoption.

Trading US Corporate Bonds: It Pays to Be Flexible
  • 17 Sep 2026

By substituting higher-cost bonds with lower-cost bonds of similar characteristics, investors can improve net returns while achieving desired exposures.

The Fed faces the music
  • 17 Sep 2026

Federal Reserve Chair Warsh seems to have realized that talking big about curbing inflation only goes so far; yesterday, he guided the central bank to a rate hike.

FOMC Statement: September 2026
  • 17 Sep 2026

Following the Fed's announcement, find our latest market views from the Global Fixed Income Currency & Commodities (GFICC) U.S. rates team.

Measuring Inflation
  • 17 Sep 2026

Chief U.S. Economist Ryan Boyle discusses the complications of gauging prices.