What do you need to know? The International Monetary Fund raised its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.1% from the 3.0% it projected in July but kept its 2027 forecast unchanged at 3.4%. Meanwhile it expects global inflation to increase to 4.7% this year from 4.1% in 2025, before easing back to 4.1% in 2027.
A quarter-century relationship between European bond and equity risk premia has broken. We explain why the reversal is unlikely to last, and what it means for positioning
Defense restocking accelerates; new threats drive demand. Defense demand remains strong globally as depleted inventories, shifting threats and years of underinvestment drive a multiyear restocking...
EM debt struggled in 3Q26 amid rising developed-market yields, persistent inflation, and geopolitical volatility, but resilient growth, improving sovereign fundamentals, and attractive carry suppor...
The investment environment is getting expensive, but adjusting a dynamic asset allocation strategy's underlying risk model can still deliver strong performance.
The Asset Allocation Committee maintains its broader risk bias while recalibrating specific exposures as a sharper rate path and a maturing credit cycle reshape the calculus
Global equity outlook: strong earnings and growth support equities despite trade tensions, bond weakness and energy-driven inflation.
Stronger policy credibility and high yields can help emerging market debt absorb a relatively modest inflation shock, supporting carry and select opportunities.
Higher-for-longer rate expectations and geopolitical tensions shaped UK LDI funding markets in Q3
Lyndon Man examines European fiscal risks, lessons from 2011 and which emerging market currencies, rates and bonds may withstand contagion amid volatility.
Why the income case for short-dated bonds doesn’t hinge on an exact interest rate forecast.
The 30th annual edition explores how rising economic nationalism and fiscal activism create both challenges and silver linings for investors. Technology adoption will provide a near-term boost to p...
GMO's 7-Year Asset Class Forecast as of September 30, 2026.
Our long-term asset class forecasts are forward-looking estimates of total return and risk premia for major asset classes. Read our update for Q3 2026.
Our latest Capital Markets Assumptions point to a familiar but important conclusion: we still see a narrower band of outcomes across asset classes, as central banks do less to suppress rates in...
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