Podcast: What’s behind the global bond selloff? Market Talk

Ben Bennett, Head of Investment Strategy Asia, shares his thoughts on how higher long-end yields shaping cross-asset performance.

The Week in Markets

$100 oil lands on an already-hawkish Fed

Brent closed the week above $107, its highest since May, and the rates market had already reached its own conclusion before the moves even settled: fed funds futures now put a 25bp hike on 16 September at 72%. Next week the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the Bank of Japan all meet, and that pricing gets tested three times in five days.

Aviva Investors traced the surge through $100 to Middle East escalation, with European gas back at 2022 levels. That combination revived higher-for-longer inflation fears just as the US 10-year approached 5% and the 30-year Treasury reached its highest yield since 2007.

BNY Investments went further: the shift, in their view, is that supply shocks are no longer temporary. Tariffs, energy and bottlenecks are broadening into core inflation and testing anchored expectations, which may force central banks to respond rather than look through the noise

The week in markets: The price of resilience

Investors spent the week grappling with the price of resilience, as robust growth and rising energy costs complicated the outlook for inflation and interest rates, pushing bond yields to multi-year...

Dollars and Sense podcast

In this episode of Dollars and Sense, we discuss how securitised credit can diversify portfolios and deliver resilient fixed income returns.

Chinese AI rivalry threatens US margins, not its ecosystem

China’s AI models raise questions about US models’ pricing, spending and valuations. We examine why we favour hyperscalers and semiconductor firms as winners of the next AI phase.

Latest Outlooks

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Our Mid-Year Capital Market Assumptions highlight that asset return forecasts have generally improved, supported by higher interest rates and more attractive equity valuations. Our 10-year assumpti...

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CAPITAL MARKET ASSUMPTIONS - July 2026

Our latest Capital Markets Assumptions point  to a familiar but important conclusion: we  still see a narrower band of outcomes across  asset classes, as central banks do less to  suppress rates in...

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