Do Markets Have the Bandwidth for the Midterms?

Options markets currently price a quick US midterm election result. But a long count, or unrest, could test markets more than it did in 2021.

The Week in Markets

The 10-year falls 17bp in a day as Meta reports and oil hits $112

The US 10-year Treasury yield fell from 5.13% on 21 October to 4.96% on 22 October, according to US Treasury data, after Meta's third-quarter results, a jump in crude and a tech sell-off at Thursday's open.

Meta narrowed its 2026 capital spending guidance to $135bn to $145bn from $130bn to $145bn and reported free cash flow of minus $2.12bn for the quarter.

It also approved a new class of non-voting shares it says it could use to raise capital. The same week, French 10-year yields went through 5% for the first time since 2002 and UK inflation rose to 3.5%. Brent hit $112.

The Next Stage of the Market Correction

Is the end of the correction in sight? Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist looks at what could bring this pullback to an end.

Currencies: The perception game

Discover how currencies evolved over centuries, shaping economies, financial markets and investment, from the gold standard to digital money.

Bonds, AI, and a bull market that has kept going

Market worries have persisted, but Treasury yields, healthy credit discipline, and continued growth in AI demand may tell another story.

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