From Iran tensions to European resilience: investment implications

Recent geopolitical developments in the Middle East, including the war in Iran, reinforce the importance of strategic autonomy and resilience for Europe.

The Week in Markets

Brent surges above $112 as Hormuz closure shutters 10m barrels a day

Brent crude settled at $112.19 — its highest since July 2022 — capping a 9% weekly surge. Oil has risen close to 50% this month. The Strait of Hormuz is all but closed; the IEA says roughly 10 million barrels of daily output has been shuttered, the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market.

Franklin Templeton cautioned that Hormuz is not just an oil story — LNG, fertilizer, and shipping are all stressed simultaneously, with delayed food-price consequences.

Lombard Odier Investment Managers warned Europe faces dual vulnerability to inflation and constrained industrial production, while Asia's exposure — concentrated in industry — should prove more transitory.

Finally Coming Into View? ‘Old-Economy’ Stocks Show Their Colors

After years of technology dominance, market leadership appears to be shifting. Will it last? The artificial intelligence (AI) trade that has dominated equity markets in recent years is showing sign...

Fixed Income: Why This Is Not 2022

CIO Weekly Perspectives | March 23, 2026 Fixed Income: Why This Is Not 2022 The echoes of 2022 are loud but misle...

Fed Wrap - Fed holds rate but highlights growing uncertainties

During this episode, Ryan Weldon of IFM’s Debt Investments team in New York discusses the outcomes of the March Fed meeting, the updated dot plot and summary of economic projections, and the diffic...

Latest Outlooks

The Weekly Brief

The Bank of England (BoE) is in a challenging position as the UK economy battles with still-sticky inflation and questions around the growth outlook. Last week’s data showed headline inflation acce...

Asia ex-Japan outlook 2026: A tale of two markets

China and South Korea, two of Asia’s most dynamic markets, have fared very differently in 2026.

Secondary market outlook

The secondary market is gaining momentum, supporting a positive outlook through 2026.

An optimistic but measured outlook for private equity

Over the coming decade, we expect high-quality private equity funds to outperform public equity portfolios.

Capital Market Assumptions – Long-term return forecasts

Although navigating by the stars can seem brave and adventurous, we would not recommend it on financial markets. Better be equipped with a solid compass!

Are There Unintended Risks in Your Capital Market Assumptions?

Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) are an essential part of portfolio construction, but they can add unintended risks. Our approach rearranges the process, connecting risk assumptions directly with...

Multi-Asset Team: Capital Market Assumptions – 2026 update

The Multi-Asset Team provide an update on their long-term model-based expectations for capital markets at the start of 2026.

2025 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

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