US-Iran Negotiations Stall

Extended uncertainty regarding the conflict in Iran could push energy markets to a tipping point.

The Week in Markets

Private markets redemption crisis bites as firms restrict withdrawals

Blackstone restricted withdrawals from its $45bn BCRED fund after redemption requests hit $4.5bn — 10% of net asset value — honouring only 5% of NAV. Cliffwater’s $31bn private credit vehicle faced 17% withdrawal requests, up from 14% in Q1.

Partners Group became the first firm to gate a semi-liquid private equity fund — its shares down 33% this year — as the crisis spread from credit into private equity.

AllianceBernstein warned that “recent fund redemptions have reinforced that illiquidity isn’t theoretical,” noting the wide dispersion of manager returns separates survivors from casualties...

Impax Asset Management argued BDC liquidity expectations have been “meaningfully re-rated” as AI fears about software loan portfolios — the so-called “SaaSpocalypse” — drive the exodus.

Latest Outlooks

Mid-Year Equities Outlook 2026

Two powerful forces have reshaped global markets in the first half of 2026. Firstly, the rapid adoption of AI is driving capital investment in data centres and supporting technology. Secondly, outl...

2026 Midyear ETF Market Outlook: Resilient fundamentals, rising fragility

Earnings—the lifeblood of this bull market—continue to drive the multiyear rally in risk assets, even as the macro backdrop grows more challenging.

2026 Midyear Investment Outlook – China Equities

Discover the 2026 midyear outlook for China equities, as AI innovation, policy support, earnings recovery, and liquidity shape market opportunities.

Positive earnings support EM outlook

EM equities have held up despite the Iran war, helped by strong earnings growth and the rally in the technology sector.

Fertilizer and Food

A break in fertilizer supplies will be felt around the world. Vaibhav Tandon explains.

Capturing Venture Growth: A Conversation About Private Markets Opportunities

Learn why companies like SpaceX highlight a broader shift: much of today’s most compelling growth is happening before businesses go public.

Emerging Markets Insights: Evolving investment narratives in a resilient market

The latest Emerging Markets Insights discusses companies across various sectors that have expressed cautious optimism for the second half of 2026 despite ongoing geopolitical pressures and higher i...

2026 Capital Market Assumptions: The impact of AI on asset class returns

Assessing an environment pointing towards a structurally higher neutral rate, stronger long-term earnings growth, and a renewed need for discipline in both duration management and equity valuation.

Are There Unintended Risks in Your Capital Market Assumptions?

Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) are an essential part of portfolio construction, but they can add unintended risks. Our approach rearranges the process, connecting risk assumptions directly with...

Multi-Asset Team: Capital Market Assumptions – 2026 update

The Multi-Asset Team provide an update on their long-term model-based expectations for capital markets at the start of 2026.

2025 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

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