Sticky inflation and high debt loads are turning sovereign paper into a source of portfolio risk.
What the 2026 US midterm elections mean for investors: divided government, policy volatility, sector impacts, and growing risks ahead of 2028.
For years after the financial crisis, fixed income investors faced a challenge: bonds offered diversification but modest income. Today, higher interest rates have restored income as a meaningful co...
Financial market coverage by the UBS CIO House View. Near-term risks may test investor confidence, but we believe they do not undermine the fundamental case for further equity gains.
Geopolitical tensions remain elevated and are likely to generate periodic volatility but the broader backdrop remains supportive of risk assets, underpinned by resilient global growth, healthy labo...
The cycle is shifting. Beta is fading. Dispersion is rising. AI is fragmenting. Read in our Hedge Funds Outlook H2-2026 which strategies win
A multifaceted perspective is critical for a full understanding of opportunity and risk. At the halfway point of 2026, resilient growth, persistent risks and tight spreads complicate insurance po...
Read our outlook for North American real estate
US wildfires stand out in our analysis for having led to credit events in the utilities sector, but the timing and extent of bond repricing is found to depend on jurisdiction.
We explore how the advance by Japanese equities is no longer propelled solely by AI-related themes but is increasingly driven by a reflation story. We also explain how the outperforming TOPIX can p...
The ECB raised rates by 25 basis points amid Middle East conflict-driven energy price pressures. Despite hawkish messaging suggesting further hikes this year, bond markets sold off sharply as inves...
Our global capital markets outlooks generally moved lower in the second quarter as risk assets rallied sharply. The rebound reversed much of a first-quarter rotation into value stocks, with strong...
Our Mid-Year Capital Market Assumptions highlight that asset return forecasts have generally improved, supported by higher interest rates and more attractive equity valuations. Our 10-year assumpti...
Our long-term asset class forecasts are forward-looking estimates of total return and risk premia for major asset classes. Read our update for Q3 2026.
Our latest Capital Markets Assumptions point to a familiar but important conclusion: we still see a narrower band of outcomes across asset classes, as central banks do less to suppress rates in...
Copyright © 2026 Markets Recon. All Rights Reserved.
