Global Investment Views - April 2026

With the Middle East conflict now entering its second month, high energy prices have produced knock-on effects across global financial markets. The US and European breakeven curves surged as markets repriced inflation expectations...

The Week in Markets

S&P 500 posts longest weekly slide since 2022

The S&P 500 fell 3.1% this week — its fifth straight weekly decline and the longest since 2022 — while the Nasdaq 100 entered correction, down 10% from its October peak. Bonds offered no refuge: global debt has lost over 3% in March, putting 60-40 portfolios on track for their worst month in four years.

BlackRock cut tactical risk, downgrading US equities to neutral, arguing that risk-asset pricing is inconsistent with the macro damage implied by energy markets.

Royal London Asset Management warned we have entered a new "Spikeflation" era — repeated structural inflation shocks rendering stock-bond diversification ineffective — urging allocators toward real assets and tactical hedging.

Far From Normal: What drove equity markets in 2025?

Equity markets in 2025 unfolded in ways few investors would describe as familiar. Political uncertainty, abrupt policy shifts and sharp reversals in risk appetite combined with an ongoing surge in...

Private Credit After the Software Reset: Where Stress Is Emerging

Private credit stress is emerging as Artificial Intelligence reshapes software risk. CI Private Markets examines legacy underwriting, vintage dispersion, and disciplined post-large language models...

Japan’s renaissance: macro, micro and physical AI

Japan is entering an exciting new phase, with several advantages that distinguish it from other major markets. There will inevitably continue to be periods of volatility as geopolitical tensions pl...

Latest Outlooks

The Weekly Brief

The Bank of England (BoE) is in a challenging position as the UK economy battles with still-sticky inflation and questions around the growth outlook. Last week’s data showed headline inflation acce...

Asia ex-Japan outlook 2026: A tale of two markets

China and South Korea, two of Asia’s most dynamic markets, have fared very differently in 2026.

Secondary market outlook

The secondary market is gaining momentum, supporting a positive outlook through 2026.

An optimistic but measured outlook for private equity

Over the coming decade, we expect high-quality private equity funds to outperform public equity portfolios.

Capital Market Assumptions – Long-term return forecasts

Although navigating by the stars can seem brave and adventurous, we would not recommend it on financial markets. Better be equipped with a solid compass!

Are There Unintended Risks in Your Capital Market Assumptions?

Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) are an essential part of portfolio construction, but they can add unintended risks. Our approach rearranges the process, connecting risk assumptions directly with...

Multi-Asset Team: Capital Market Assumptions – 2026 update

The Multi-Asset Team provide an update on their long-term model-based expectations for capital markets at the start of 2026.

2025 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

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