Market Flash: Global markets are hanging on signs of a Middle East de-escalation

The markets initially welcomed every sign of de-escalation: Government bond yields eased, equity markets rebounded and Brent crude fluctuated between $100-110. Donald Trump’s address on Wednesday evening soured the mood. He said the war would be short, just another two to three weeks, but threatened to destroy Iran's energy infrastructure if Washington's demands were not accepted.

The Week in Markets

S&P 500 posts longest weekly slide since 2022

The S&P 500 fell 3.1% this week — its fifth straight weekly decline and the longest since 2022 — while the Nasdaq 100 entered correction, down 10% from its October peak. Bonds offered no refuge: global debt has lost over 3% in March, putting 60-40 portfolios on track for their worst month in four years.

BlackRock cut tactical risk, downgrading US equities to neutral, arguing that risk-asset pricing is inconsistent with the macro damage implied by energy markets.

Royal London Asset Management warned we have entered a new "Spikeflation" era — repeated structural inflation shocks rendering stock-bond diversification ineffective — urging allocators toward real assets and tactical hedging.

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While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

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