Strikes on Iran – assessing the market impact

Markets face a significant – but not yet destabilising – shock after the US and Israel launched strikes against Iranian military targets. The immediate implication is a repricing of tail risks.

The Week in Markets

AI ‘scare trade’ rattles stocks despite bumper Nvidia results

The Nasdaq rose earlier in the week but ended down 0.8% over five days, closing under 22,700, as NVIDIA slid over 11% late in the week despite reporting 73% revenue growth. The S&P 500 software sub-index has shed $1.2tn in market value in under a month, reflecting mounting concern that AI capex and disruption risks are outrunning fundamentals.

Man Group noted price momentum has returned 19.2% over 12 months versus 3.9% for analyst sentiment (see chart), highlighting extreme AI-driven industry concentration.

TwentyFour Asset Management LLP argued the most dystopian AI scenarios ignore offsetting demand effects, but warns concentrated exposure in illiquid tech credit could amplify volatility if fundamentals deteriorate. BNY Investments assessed value capture - not adoption - will determine the ultimate AI winners.

Equities: Lean Into the Disruption—Don’t Fight It

CIO Weekly Perspectives | March 02, 2026 Equities: Lean Into the Disruption—Don’t Fight It There’s no escaping the market impact of AI disruption and tariff uncertainty. But it’s better to lean int...

Capturing opportunity as the equity landscape evolves

AI stocks may dominate, but market dispersion is broadening, offering potential reward for active investors who look beyond headline trends for opportunities.

Five catalysts for international value stocks in 2026 and beyond

International value stocks outpaced US equities in 2025. See the five catalysts fueling the shift—and why investors still have time to act.

Latest Outlooks

Secondary market outlook

The secondary market is gaining momentum, supporting a positive outlook through 2026.

An optimistic but measured outlook for private equity

Over the coming decade, we expect high-quality private equity funds to outperform public equity portfolios.

Multi-Asset – Investment Outlook – 2026: February Insights

Since the start of the Trump presidency, investors have been faced with a stark contrast between a volatile news cycle and resilient market performance. From threats to Federal Reserve independence...

Global High Yield – 2025 in Review and 2026 Outlook

Global high yield markets realised a strong performance in 2025, characterized by low defaults, active issuance, and robust investor demand.

Tariffs: A Lost Year

A long-form review of what tariffs have accomplished and what may be in store. Carl Tannenbaum, Ryan Boyle and Vaibhav Tandon explain.

Memory is the New Oil

The AI buildout is constrained by the demand for DRAM, which could affect profit outcomes. Companies with structural advantages might benefit more.

Back to basics: Why the time is right for multi-asset investing

The great reset in bond yields means multi-asset is once again a viable option for investors seeking a smoother return profile.

Capital Market Assumptions – Long-term return forecasts

Although navigating by the stars can seem brave and adventurous, we would not recommend it on financial markets. Better be equipped with a solid compass!

Are There Unintended Risks in Your Capital Market Assumptions?

Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) are an essential part of portfolio construction, but they can add unintended risks. Our approach rearranges the process, connecting risk assumptions directly with...

Multi-Asset Team: Capital Market Assumptions – 2026 update

The Multi-Asset Team provide an update on their long-term model-based expectations for capital markets at the start of 2026.

2025 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

00

investment research docs

00

AM firms

To be a Contributor

Contact Us