US Federal Reserve: On hold, with a good chance of a hike

As expected, the US Federal Reserve kept rates on hold following their June meeting, with the Fed funds target range remaining at 3½ to 3¾% with the vote unanimous.

The Week in Markets

SpaceX delivers the largest IPO in history – then a $25bn bond debut tests whether credit shares the euphoria

SpaceX priced its float at $135 a share on 12 June, raising around $75bn for a valuation of roughly $1.75tn – a listing so large it dwarfs the previous record; Saudi Aramco’s $25.6bn debut in 2019.

Aviva Investors flagged an unusual twist in this IPO tale: where big IPOs typically reserve just 5–10% of stock for individuals, Elon Musk has suggested up to 25% of the offering could go their way, framing a deal of this magnitude as “a significant test of sentiment.”

TwentyFour Asset Management argued that credit is pricing the same story far more soberly: the equity trades on close to 100x revenue and around 260x EV/EBITDA and sits 15% above its IPO price, yet the new bonds – rated BBB+ but changing hands nearer BBB-, some two notches below – suggest “bondholders do not benefit from the upside” if the Moon, Mars, and space-data-centre plans, come good.

Why AI’s Impact on Inflation Isn’t Straightforward

AGF Investments’ David Stonehouse explains why artificial intelligence is driving up prices in the short term but may be disinflationary over time.

Bond Bulletin: Financing the AI buildout

AI-related bond issuance is rapidly becoming one of the most important areas of opportunity in corporate credit. This week’s Bond Bulletin explores how both the size and innovative structures of re...

The week in markets: Relief builds as tensions fade

A wave of relief swept investors this week, as easing tensions between the US and Iran pushed oil prices lower and improved confidence, helping markets regain momentum.

Latest Outlooks

2026 midyear outlook: A world disrupted? Resilience endures.

In a time of immense disruption, we believe resilience endures and provides a favourable investment environment for the rest of the year.

2026 Midyear Market Outlook: Five shifts reshaping markets

Markets have been anything but stable in the first half of 2026. A sequence of geopolitically driven shocks has collided with surging artificial intelligence (AI) investment, robust corporate earni...

2026 Midyear Investment Outlook: An Active Environment for Fixed Income

Resilient economic growth, elevated carry, and widening dispersion across credit markets help to create opportunities for active fixed income investing in the second half of 2026.

2026 Capital Market Assumptions: The impact of AI on asset class returns

Assessing an environment pointing towards a structurally higher neutral rate, stronger long-term earnings growth, and a renewed need for discipline in both duration management and equity valuation.

Are There Unintended Risks in Your Capital Market Assumptions?

Capital Market Assumptions (CMAs) are an essential part of portfolio construction, but they can add unintended risks. Our approach rearranges the process, connecting risk assumptions directly with...

Multi-Asset Team: Capital Market Assumptions – 2026 update

The Multi-Asset Team provide an update on their long-term model-based expectations for capital markets at the start of 2026.

2025 Q4 Capital Market Assumptions

While the year began with ever-shifting winds of change from the second Trump administration, these have settled into a more modest headwind.

00

investment research docs

00

AM firms

To be a Contributor

Contact Us