Earthquakes Compound Venezuela's Hardship

Western Asset: Two major earthquakes in Venezuela have caused widespread destruction and uncertainty, complicating the country's economic recovery, debt restructuring and energy outlook.

The Week in Markets

SpaceX delivers the largest IPO in history – then a $25bn bond debut tests whether credit shares the euphoria

SpaceX priced its float at $135 a share on 12 June, raising around $75bn for a valuation of roughly $1.75tn – a listing so large it dwarfs the previous record; Saudi Aramco’s $25.6bn debut in 2019.

Aviva Investors flagged an unusual twist in this IPO tale: where big IPOs typically reserve just 5–10% of stock for individuals, Elon Musk has suggested up to 25% of the offering could go their way, framing a deal of this magnitude as “a significant test of sentiment.”

TwentyFour Asset Management argued that credit is pricing the same story far more soberly: the equity trades on close to 100x revenue and around 260x EV/EBITDA and sits 15% above its IPO price, yet the new bonds – rated BBB+ but changing hands nearer BBB-, some two notches below – suggest “bondholders do not benefit from the upside” if the Moon, Mars, and space-data-centre plans, come good.

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