Strangled strait

With Iran and the US competing to block the Strait of Hormuz, oil, gas and fertiliser trade disruptions are impacting markets.

The Week in Markets

Oil whipsaws as Hormuz tensions reset inflation and earnings outlook

Brent crude swung sharply this week, easing toward $105 on renewed US–Iran talks but still surging ~16% — its biggest weekly gain since the war began — as disruption in the Strait of Hormuz persisted and prices pushed back above $100.

Aviva Investors said markets were forced to reassess “how optimistic they had become” about a swift resolution, with inflation expectations rising again.

Amova Asset Management noted it has moved to neutralise equity risk, warning sustained high oil could weigh on growth and delay rate cuts. Lombard Odier Investment Managers flagged that supply shocks hit profits directly, with a 10% disruption potentially cutting earnings by up to 20%.

Markets Lower As Geopolitical Uncertainty Remains

Global equities lower amid re-emergence of geopolitical risk.

Global Investment Views - May 2026

This edition of the GIV elaborates on how our assessment and the market's interpretation of the middle east crisis is changing.

Finding clarity in complexity: three global fixed income ideas for navigating macro uncertainty

As recent shifts and added complexity reshape global markets, we share three global fixed income ideas to help investors navigate today’s uncertain environment with discipline, flexibility, and a g...

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