The Week in Markets

Fund managers assess Warsh nomination and Fed credibility

Markets digested President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed chair, turning central-bank credibility into a first-order market variable. Gold and silver suffered their steepest one-day falls in decades, the dollar rebounded from four-year lows, and Treasury yields initially rose as investors reassessed the policy outlook.

BlackRock said the nomination eased pressure on the dollar and helped cap term-premium risks by reducing fears of destabilising spillovers.

Invesco argued markets may be overpricing hawkishness, viewing a Warsh-led Fed as ultimately “constructive for risk assets” if independence is preserved. PGIM Investments struck a more nuanced tone, seeing scope for faster rate cuts alongside balance-sheet discipline - a mix that could steepen curves and favour selective risk over long-duration havens (see chart).

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