Powell suggests a change to Fed policy

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish tone at Jackson Hole last week had ramifications for rate expectations, tech stocks, and the US dollar.

The Week in Markets

Trump’s latest tariffs reignite global trade war

President Trump hit key exporters with sweeping new tariffs, including some of the highest U.S. trade barriers in decades.

Taiwan faces a new 20% levy, Canada 35%, India 25%, and Switzerland 39%. Japan, the EU, and South Korea avoided harsher terms by agreeing to 15% rates and major U.S. investments. The S&P 500 saw its worst week since May - a fall of 1.6% on the week. Capital Group said in a note that Japan’s $550bn commitment to U.S. industries helped lift short-term sentiment, though political instability looms.

Candriam noted that pharma tariffs - set at 15% - remain a “moving target,” with further hikes possible under a Section 232 review. UK banks appeared unfazed during recent earnings statements, according to TwentyFour Asset Management LLP noting resilient margins and credit quality within the sector.

The BEAT: Investing Outlook Brightens in Second Half Amid U.S. Policy Developments

With concern about tariffs easing, investors can focus in the second half of 2025 on growth, earnings and a potential boost in the U.S. from deregulation and passage of tax legislation.

Weekly Comments on Credit: August 22, 2025

At the start of the week, long-term U.S. Treasury yields ticked up due to stagflation fears and concerns about heavy issuance. On Tuesday, the curve steepened modestly, with 30-year bond yields hov...

The “Balance of Risks” Appears To Be Shifting

Fed Chair Jerome Powell opens the door to policy easing with no clear timeline.

Latest Outlooks

The outlook for Hong Kong equity market following the recent rally

The Hang Seng Index is up nearly 30% YTD, fueled by Chinese AI innovation and macroeconomic tailwinds. With rate cuts, strong inflows, IPO leadership and attractive valuations, momentum in Hong Kon...

Capital Market Assumptions

Capital Market Assumptions – Long-term return forecasts

Although navigating by the stars can seem brave and adventurous, we would not recommend it on financial markets. Better be equipped with a solid compass!

Capital Market Assumptions - April 2025

Ninety One’s Capital Market Assumptions framework focuses on the key drivers of long-term performance. We do this to better understand possible future returns, enriching discussions with our clients.

Capital market assumptions

Our latest capital market assumptions (CMAs) include India rupee-denominated CMAs to capture the long-term opportunity we see unfolding in India. Our CMAs also reflect the rise in global bond yield...

Capital market assumptions | Q1 2025

Invesco Solutions develops capital market assumptions (CMAs) that provide long-term estimates for the behaviour of major asset classes globally.

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